Goldman Sachs – 6 Stocks to Purchase for the Subsequent Oil-price Surge
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An oil refinery.
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Oil firms are about to report their fourth-quarter earnings, and the outcomes are more likely to be downbeat—proof that 2020 was one of many worst years in historical past for the trade.
However the outcomes even have the potential to raise the stocks, argues Goldman Sachs analyst Brian Singer. The massive oil firms, together with the European majors,
Exxon Mobil
(ticker: XOM), and
Chevron
(CVX) are set to report earnings over the subsequent two weeks.
Traders might be specializing in their statements about free cash circulation for the approaching yr greater than their explanations of previous outcomes. And Singer thinks they’ll be proud of what they hear. Already, oil stocks have had a robust begin to 2021 as fund managers begin placing a refund into the trade after staying away in 2020.
Goldman is especially bullish on oil costs, and has been for some time. Its 2021 price goal for West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, is $58.50 per barrel, 23% larger than the typical name amongst Wall Street analysts. WTI crude futures have been up 0.8% to $53.38 on Wednesday.
Singer recommends that buyers put cash within the stocks of oil firms with low debt and the potential to pay rising dividends and presumably purchase again stock.
“We continue to prefer stocks that can incrementally return capital in 2021,” he wrote.
His prime choose for this development is
Devon Power
(DVN), an Oklahoma Metropolis oil producer that simply closed a deal to purchase fellow producer WPX Power. Devon intends to comply with a singular dividend coverage, one which some analysts have mentioned may very well be a blueprint for the trade. It plans to pay a set dividend worth about 10% of its working cash circulation, after which pay a variable dividend worth as much as 50% of “excess” free cash circulation based mostly on the state of the market.
His different decisions embody
Cimarex Power
(XEC),
EOG Assets
(EOG),
Magnolia Oil & Fuel
(MGY), and
PDC Power
(PDCE). Singer additionally likes
Hess
(HES), which has extra worldwide holdings, “for longer-term non-shale growth.”
Write to Avi Salzman at avi.salzman@barrons.com