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        • Mortgage rates today, April 3, 2020 plus reviews
        • Microsoft Vulnerability: Hundreds of Microsoft Servers Contaminated By Crypto-Mining Botnet Since 2018
        • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,800 USD
        • Pandemic Is Changing BTC Usage in ‘Unexpected Ways’
        • Macropay on Alternative & local payment methods that are reshaping global e-commerce
        • Bank of America is preparing for a flood of Applications to Small-Business Loan
        • Microsoft might be the best tech stock in this market
        • US Airlines To Work Collectively, Consolidate Flights
        • Bank of America maintaining business continuity and protecting the bottom line
        • US long-term mortgage rates drop
        • Chase bank will raise up to $10 billion
          • Bitcoin Price Bulls have been rejected at $7,000
          • Stock Market: 4 Top Stock Trades for Wednesday: NVDA, AVGO, BAC, IQ
          • Stock Market April 2 – Edge Higher; Oil Surges, Bonds Fall, Dollar Rose
          • Bitcoin Price Simply Surged to $6,500 After Over 10% Weekend Crash
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $7,000: BTC Leaps to Retest $7,000
          • Bank of America agreed to allow 50,000 mortgage customers to defer payments
        • Prime ICO Advertising and marketing Companies
          • Bank of America U.S. Minimum Hourly Wage Reaches $20
            • Bitcoin Price Prediction April: Three Key Causes Why BTC May Plunge Beneath $5,000
              • Roll up the Sleeves! American Airlines was down -10.34%
              • Mortgage calculator rates today April 2, 2020
              • Mortgage Calculator Small businesses: SB have ‘a million inquiries’ regarding check help loans
              • Bitcoin Price Today April 1 – Bitcoin Takes Tumble
                • With Bank of America card you can request a payment deferral online
                  • Bank of America fields 150,000 installment deferral demands
                • Coronavirus – Travel Insurance no cover cancellations
                  • Bank of America said it won’t cut any positions
              • Bitcoin Price Today April 2 – BTC rise to $6,700
              • Mortgage calculator rates today March 31, 2020
              • Bitcoin Price Momentum Sign Reverses, Bull Run Lastly Inbound?
              • Bitcoin Price Recovering After a Sharp Decline
              • Fintech News Airbnb – How hosts are fighting back against Covid-19 fallout
              • Market Stock Boeing – Challenging Times Ahead for Boeing Stock
            • Bitcoin Price Bulls – is Forming a Bull Cross After Rallying to $6,500
            • P2P Crowdlending – Average Interest Rate 18%
            • $633 Million BTC Transferred For Simply $0.26 Payment
        • Bank of America will provide up to $250 million
        • Bank of America VC: You tend to do the wrong thing at the wrong time
          • Bank of America sees big year for Microsoft ahead
            • American Airlines coronavirus downgrade
              • US Bank Raises $586M Against COVID-19
                • Bank of America’s Solid Liquidity to Help Covid-19 Crisis
      • Bitcoin Price Rejected $6,600
        • Payment Systems
          • Monzo News
            • Stock Market Today 31 March, 2020
          • Venmo
      • Bitcoin Price Trace It Will Fall to $ 5 K
      • BTC Price Today April 4
      • Best Fintech Companies to Work for 2020
    • Guest Posts
      • Bitcoin Price Jump as Coronavirus Curve Begins to Flatten
        • Bitcoin Price Today April 3
        • Bitcoin Price Is Sometimes Bullish in Q2
        • Bitcoin Price Tumble Beneath $ 6,000
        • BTC Price Today 5 | April, 2020
        • Bitcoin Price and S&P 500 – Here’s how much bitcoin beat the Dow and S&P 500 in the first quarter
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,600
            • Bitcoin Price Bulls Reaches: “Live or Die”
            • BTC Price Today | 6 April 2020
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      • Mortgage Calculator Modification – What Is?
      • Mortgage Calculator Canada: Rates Are Rising
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            • Bitcoin Price Volume Decline with Lowering Volatility
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      • News
        • Mortgage rates today, April 3, 2020 plus reviews
        • Microsoft Vulnerability: Hundreds of Microsoft Servers Contaminated By Crypto-Mining Botnet Since 2018
        • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,800 USD
        • Pandemic Is Changing BTC Usage in ‘Unexpected Ways’
        • Macropay on Alternative & local payment methods that are reshaping global e-commerce
        • Bank of America is preparing for a flood of Applications to Small-Business Loan
        • Microsoft might be the best tech stock in this market
        • US Airlines To Work Collectively, Consolidate Flights
        • Bank of America maintaining business continuity and protecting the bottom line
        • US long-term mortgage rates drop
        • Chase bank will raise up to $10 billion
          • Bitcoin Price Bulls have been rejected at $7,000
          • Stock Market: 4 Top Stock Trades for Wednesday: NVDA, AVGO, BAC, IQ
          • Stock Market April 2 – Edge Higher; Oil Surges, Bonds Fall, Dollar Rose
          • Bitcoin Price Simply Surged to $6,500 After Over 10% Weekend Crash
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $7,000: BTC Leaps to Retest $7,000
          • Bank of America agreed to allow 50,000 mortgage customers to defer payments
        • Prime ICO Advertising and marketing Companies
          • Bank of America U.S. Minimum Hourly Wage Reaches $20
            • Bitcoin Price Prediction April: Three Key Causes Why BTC May Plunge Beneath $5,000
              • Roll up the Sleeves! American Airlines was down -10.34%
              • Mortgage calculator rates today April 2, 2020
              • Mortgage Calculator Small businesses: SB have ‘a million inquiries’ regarding check help loans
              • Bitcoin Price Today April 1 – Bitcoin Takes Tumble
                • With Bank of America card you can request a payment deferral online
                  • Bank of America fields 150,000 installment deferral demands
                • Coronavirus – Travel Insurance no cover cancellations
                  • Bank of America said it won’t cut any positions
              • Bitcoin Price Today April 2 – BTC rise to $6,700
              • Mortgage calculator rates today March 31, 2020
              • Bitcoin Price Momentum Sign Reverses, Bull Run Lastly Inbound?
              • Bitcoin Price Recovering After a Sharp Decline
              • Fintech News Airbnb – How hosts are fighting back against Covid-19 fallout
              • Market Stock Boeing – Challenging Times Ahead for Boeing Stock
            • Bitcoin Price Bulls – is Forming a Bull Cross After Rallying to $6,500
            • P2P Crowdlending – Average Interest Rate 18%
            • $633 Million BTC Transferred For Simply $0.26 Payment
        • Bank of America will provide up to $250 million
        • Bank of America VC: You tend to do the wrong thing at the wrong time
          • Bank of America sees big year for Microsoft ahead
            • American Airlines coronavirus downgrade
              • US Bank Raises $586M Against COVID-19
                • Bank of America’s Solid Liquidity to Help Covid-19 Crisis
      • Bitcoin Price Rejected $6,600
        • Payment Systems
          • Monzo News
            • Stock Market Today 31 March, 2020
          • Venmo
      • Bitcoin Price Trace It Will Fall to $ 5 K
      • BTC Price Today April 4
      • Best Fintech Companies to Work for 2020
    • Guest Posts
      • Bitcoin Price Jump as Coronavirus Curve Begins to Flatten
        • Bitcoin Price Today April 3
        • Bitcoin Price Is Sometimes Bullish in Q2
        • Bitcoin Price Tumble Beneath $ 6,000
        • BTC Price Today 5 | April, 2020
        • Bitcoin Price and S&P 500 – Here’s how much bitcoin beat the Dow and S&P 500 in the first quarter
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,600
            • Bitcoin Price Bulls Reaches: “Live or Die”
            • BTC Price Today | 6 April 2020
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      • Best Airline Credit Card 2020
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      • 11 Best Prepaid Debit Cards of 2020
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      • Get Revolut Card + £50
      • Qantas Credit Card
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      • Coles Mastercard
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    • Credit Cards Guides
      • How many credit cards should I have?
      • Is Discover Visa or Mastercard?
    • Credit Cards Reviews
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      • Fortiva Credit Card Review
      • Indigo Credit Card Review
      • Wells Fargo Propel – Review
      • Walmart Money Card – Review
      • Credit One Credit Card Review
      • Discover it® Cash Back – Review
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      • Petal Credit Card Review
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    • Mortgage “Best of…”
      • Best Mortgage for Low Down Payment 2020
      • Best Mortgage Rates
      • Best VA Mortgage Lenders of 2020
      • Greatest On-line Mortgage Lenders
      • The Best Mortgage Lenders for First Time Home Buyers
    • Mortgage Calculators
      • Mortgage calculator rates today April 1, 2020
      • Mortgage Calculator – Students Benefits
      • Mortgage Calculator – Homeowners and renters Get Payment Relief
      • Calculator for mortgage to millennials
      • Mortgage Calculator Modification – What Is?
      • Mortgage Calculator Canada: Rates Are Rising
      • Mortgage Calculator Home – Is it time to repair your own home mortgage?
      • Mortgage Calculator
      • Mortgage Calculator Rates Today April 3
      • Mortgage Calculator Online
      • Mortgage Calculator Coronavirus: UK mortgage market goes into lockdown
    • Mortgage Guides
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      • How Mortgage Forbearance Works Under CARES Act
      • Stimulus Check
    • Mortgage Companies
      • Nationstar Mortgage
      • Roundpoint Mortgage
      • Midland Mortgage
      • Simple Mortgage Calculator
      • Freedom Mortgage
      • SunTrust Mortgage
  • Commodities
    • Energy
      • WTI Oil Prices
      • Brent Crude
      • Crude Oil
    • Agricultural Products
      • Corns
    • Livestock & Meat
      • Lean Hogs
    • Precious Metals
      • Platinum
      • Gold
        • Best Place to Buy Gold
        • Price of Gold
        • 5 Ways In order to Buy Gold
        • Gold Price Chart
        • Gold Futures
      • Silver
    • Industrial Metals
      • Copper
  • Insurtech
    • Insurtech “Best of…”
      • Best Life Insurance of 2020
      • The Best Renters Insurance Companies 2020
      • Best Pet Insurance Providers of 2020
      • Best Home Insurance Companies for 2020
      • Best Car Insurance Quotes Online
      • Best Homeowners Insurance Companies of 2020
    • Insurtech Guides
      • Insurance will not cover coronavirus losses
  • Loans
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      • Emergency personal loans for veterans
      • Fafsa deadline
      • Cash Loans
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      • Merrill Lynch Benefits
      • Loans CLO Pain Just Starting With Leveraged loan Rating Cuts
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Factbox: Pandemic brings ahead predictions for peak oil demand | The Mighty 790 KFGO

James Albert by James Albert
November 27, 2020
in Goldman Sachs
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Home » Factbox: Pandemic brings ahead predictions for peak oil demand | The Mighty 790 KFGO

Goldman Sachs – Factbox: Pandemic brings ahead predictions for peak oil demand | The Mighty 790 KFGO

(Reuters) – The COVID-19 pandemic this 12 months has dented oil consumption and introduced ahead forecasts by power majors, producers and analysts for when the world’s demand for oil may peak.

The rise of electrical automobiles and a shift to renewable power sources had been already prompting downward revisions in forecasts for long-term oil demand.

Whereas there isn’t a consensus on when oil demand may peak, the revised predictions mark a boon to the struggle towards local weather change and will weigh on oil firms’ plans to probe for and develop new sources.

BP – Could possibly be as early as 2019

BP forecasts COVID-19 will knock round three million barrels per day (bpd) off by 2025 and a couple of million bpd by 2050 in its central situation.

In its two aggressive situations, COVID-19 accelerates the decelerate in oil consumption, resulting in it peaking final 12 months. Within the third situation, oil demand peaks at round 2030.

Graphic: BP peak oil: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/qzjvqogglvx/bpliquid.JPG

Equinor – 2027-2028

Norwegian oil and fuel agency Equinor expects international oil demand to peak by round 2027-2028, two to a few years sooner than the corporate beforehand forecast.

“Earlier assumptions for peak oil demand to occur round 2030 may be challenged,” the Norwegian oil main stated in its annual power outlook.

Equinor sees oil demand at 99.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2030, and falling to 84 million bpd in 2050, below its central situation, dubbed Reform.

Graphic: Equinor peak oil: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/rlgpdaeeavo/Equinor%20outlook.png

Bernstein Vitality – 2025-30

Analysts at Bernstein Vitality say IMF projections for GDP development means international oil demand will once more stand at 2019 ranges of round 100 million bpd by 2023 earlier than quickly plateauing.

“Oil demand has not peaked, however it’s possible not that far off both … we anticipate demand won’t peak till someday in 2025-30.”

Rystad Vitality – 2028

Norway’s largest unbiased power consultancy Rystad Vitality sees international oil demand peaking at 102 bpd in 2028, revised down from a earlier prediction of simply over 106 million bpd in 2030.

“The lockdowns will stunt financial restoration within the brief time period and in the long run and the pandemic may also go away behind a legacy of behavioural adjustments that may also have an effect on oil use,” stated senior oil markets analyst Artyom Tchen.

Graphic: Rystad peak oil: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/oakvexrlopr/rystadpeak.JPG

IEA – inside the subsequent 10 years

The Paris-based Worldwide Vitality Company stated peak oil demand is already a actuality in superior economies however is offset by an increase of 9 million bpd in creating economies between 2019-2030.

“The period of world oil demand development will come to an finish inside the subsequent 10 years, however within the absence in a big shift in authorities insurance policies, I do not see a transparent signal of a peak,” IEA chief Fatih Birol instructed Reuters.

“A world financial rebound would quickly convey oil demand again to pre-crisis ranges,” he stated in an interview.

Graphic: IEA peak oil: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/xklvyboolpg/IEAstated.JPG

Goldman Sachs – after 2030

The rise in electrical automobiles, renewable power and plastics recycling will sap oil demand however development in creating international locations will push a peak past 2030, Goldman Sachs stated.

“We don’t anticipate international oil demand to peak earlier than 2030 in our base case pushed by stable basic financial development, rising market demographics and comparatively low oil costs,” the bank stated.

OPEC – Round 2040

In its first ever prediction for international oil demand to peak, the Group for the Petroleum Exporting Nations stated demand would recuperate within the subsequent two years however plateau by 2040.

“On the international degree, oil demand is anticipated to extend by nearly 10 million bpd over the long run, rising from 99.7 million bpd in 2019 to 109.three million bpd in 2040 and to 109.1 million bpd in 2045,” it stated in its World Oil Outlook.

That 2040 degree stood at 1 million bpd beneath these the producer membership predicted final 12 months.

Graphic: Opec peak oil: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/xlbpgzddwvq/Opecdemand.JPG

Shell – no prediction

Royal Dutch Shell has held off on giving any prediction, however CEO Ben van Beurden instructed reporters this 12 months that pandemic may have already led to a peak in demand.

“Demand will take a very long time to recuperate if it recovers in any respect,” van Beurden stated.

“Vitality demand, and certainty mobility demand, shall be decrease even when this disaster is kind of behind us. Will it imply that it’ll by no means recuperate? It’s most likely too early to say, however it’s going to have a everlasting knock for years,” he added.

(Reporting By Noah Browning; enhancing by David Evans)

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James Albert

James Albert

James Albert is a personal-finance analist for FintechZoom and is based in New York.

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