Rising institutional curiosity has been a driver for Bitcoin’s price since July 2020. Nevertheless, in what’s being termed because the bull run of the season, different drivers of progress reminiscent of rising liquidity, demand by new consumers, and Bitcoin’s volatility on spot exchanges, are additionally rearing their heads.
For Bakkt, institutional curiosity has contributed to a surge in Bitcoin Futures quantity. As a regulated crypto-derivatives exchange that provides bodily settlement in a speculative cryptocurrency market, Bakkt’s market share has steadily risen on the charts.
In August 2020, Bakkt’s each day Bitcoin Futures quantity was persistently above $50M, with the determine even hitting $100M fairly a number of occasions. Nevertheless, the latest expiry of $150M worth of Bitcoin contracts contributed to a drop of over 50% within the complete quantity of Bitcoin Futures on the platform.
A drop within the quantity of Bitcoin Futures factors to bearish sentiment for merchants on derivatives exchanges. Nevertheless, examine this to BTC/USD for extra insights.
Right here, it have to be famous that Bakkt Bitcoin Futures expire on the final Friday of the contract month.
- In June 2020, Bakkt Bitcoin Futures contracts expired on 26 June 2020. There was a price drop of 10.7% from the beginning of the month to the final Friday, whereas there was a drop of seven% within the week previous the expiry.
- In July 2020, Bakkt Bitcoin Futures contracts expired on 31 July 2020. Nevertheless, there was no noticeable price drop on spot exchanges. This may be attributed to the rally in Bitcoin costs that began on 27 July 2020.
- In August 2020, Bakkt Bitcoin Futures contracts expired on 28 August 2020, and there was a drop of seven% from the best level within the month and a 3% drop inside every week, previous the expiry in query.
From the listed insights, the pattern that emerges is that the expiry of Bitcoin Contracts may result in a price drop of 3-7% on spot exchanges. Nevertheless, rising quantity and new demand may affect costs, following which, the drop in query may not emerge to be as vital.
In September 2020, Bakkt Bitcoin Futures Contracts are expiring on 28 September 2020. If the volatility in Bitcoin’s price drops, the price may be immediately influenced by expiring contracts. There may be a drop of 3-7% in Bitcoin’s price on spot exchanges, within the week previous the expiry of those contracts.