5. The ACB affirmation combat begins (for actual):
On Monday, the Senate Judiciary Committee will open its affirmation hearings for the Supreme Courtroom nomination of Amy Coney Barrett.
Whereas Barrett is anticipated to make it by way of Judiciary — Republicans have a 12-9 edge on the committee — the stakes stay excessive for her and a number of other of the senators asking questions.
For South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, the chairman of the committee, the stakes are massively excessive. He’s in a decent race in opposition to former state get together chairman Jaime Harrison (far more on that beneath) and is struggling to unite Republicans behind his bid. He could not ask for a extra high-profile alternative to carry them into the fold than this.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who clearly fancies one other presidential bid sooner or later sooner or later, might be seeking to show his conservative bona fides — but once more — to the get together’s base. Ditto Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley, who’s already being mentioned as a possible 2024 candidate.
Each Sens. Joni Ernst of Iowa and Thom Tillis of North Carolina have extra instant considerations. Every is in a aggressive race for reelection this fall, and must hope spending a number of days off the marketing campaign path would not impede their efforts to win second phrases.
4. $enate GOP panic button:
The most important political information on Sunday wasn’t within the presidential race. It was within the Senate.
Former South Carolina Democratic Celebration Chairman Jaime Harrison reported elevating $57 million between July 1 and September 30 for his race in opposition to Sen. Lindsey Graham.
That whole smashes the single-quarter fundraising file of $38 million that then Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke raised in the summertime of 2018 for his problem to GOP Sen. Ted Cruz.
It is but extra proof of the seriousness of Harrison’s problem to Graham — and the way a lot disdain Democrats nationally really feel towards the South Carolina Republican.
Whereas Harrison’s fundraising whole is, actually, gorgeous, it is in line with the huge sums his fellow Democratic Senate challengers have introduced they collected within the third quarter.
* Theresa Greenfield raised nearly $29 million for her race this fall in opposition to Republican Sen. Joni Ernst of Iowa.
* In North Carolina, Democrat Cal Cunningham, a former state senator, introduced in $28 million within the third quarter of 2020 for his problem to Republican Sen. Thom Tillis.
* In Colorado, former Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) raised $22.6 million between July 1 and September 30 to help his race in opposition to Republican Sen. Cory Gardner.
Now, cash is not determinative. O’Rourke, in any case, misplaced to Cruz. However the large fundraising hauls by Senate Democratic challengers over the previous three months do recommend a degree of vitality and keenness that ought to scare Republicans desperately clinging to their majority.
3. Will folks go to Trump rallies?:
President Donald Trump is ready to carry rallies in Florida, Pennsylvania and Iowa this coming week — although a) the White Home nonetheless will not say whether or not he has examined damaging for Covid-19 and b) massive occasions the place social distancing tips should not noticed are generally known as doubtless locations for the virus to unfold.
Given these twin realities — coupled with the truth that the numbers of circumstances of the virus are growing in lots of states throughout the nation — will folks nonetheless present up in droves to help the President?
The betting odds are, in fact, sure. And there is no doubt that some decent-sized chunk of Trump loyalists present up it doesn’t matter what.
2. The election is already taking place!:
Sure, there are nonetheless 23 days till November 3. However due to a surge of mail-in ballots — due largely to the continuing coronavirus pandemic — thousands and thousands of Individuals have already voted (and thousands and thousands extra will vote) earlier than the calendar turns to November.
And never surprisingly, many extra registered Democrats than registered Republicans have voted. Of the 9 states (of the 38 early voting states) the place voters register by get together, Democrats have forged 2,089,872 votes in comparison with 896,602 by Republicans. In those self same states, Democrats have requested a complete of 22,274,798 ballots whereas Republicans have requested for 13,010,266 ballots.
These thousands and thousands of voters are selecting their candidates primarily based not on what the political surroundings might be in November however on what the political surroundings is true now. And that is main hassle for Trump — as his scores (each general and on coronavirus) proceed to erode badly.
1. Trump’s coronavirus useless finish:
Trump is dropping this election. And he is dropping primarily as a result of the American public disapproves of the way in which wherein he has responded (and never responded) to the continuing coronavirus pandemic.
Regardless of the clear correlation between Trump’s poor scores on the coronavirus and his general standing with voters, the President continues to say and do issues sure to strengthen these damaging impressions with voters.
“Loads of flareups, however it will disappear, it’s disappearing and vaccines are going to assist,” Trump mentioned of the virus Saturday, talking from the White Home balcony to lots of of invited onlookers simply 10 days after testing constructive for Covid-19 himself. (The variety of new circumstances nationwide is now at its highest degree in a number of months.)
Trump additionally insisted he could be “beginning very, very massive with our rallies and with our every little thing” although massive gatherings the place social distancing is troublesome are strongly discouraged by medical specialists.
Consider Trump on Covid-19 this manner: He is your dad driving on a household trip. He is taken a fallacious flip — and everybody, together with him, is aware of it. However he refuses to course right — simply driving additional and additional away out of your final vacation spot.