Justin Trudeau – Liberals enjoy comfortable lead over Tories: Mainstreet poll
Amid a second wave of COVID-19 infections and the start of a nationwide vaccination campaign, the federal Liberals remain more popular than the opposition Conservatives, according to Mainstreet Research’s latest poll.
When asked which party they would vote for if an election were held today, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals were once again the choice of 39 per cent of leaning and decided voters who responded to Mainstreet’s survey of 3,132 adult Canadians on Jan. 19 and 20. Conservative backing sits at 32 per cent.
New Democrats came in third with 14 per cent, followed by the Greens and the Bloc Québécois with five per cent each.
Support for the Liberals has remained steady, at 39 per cent, since the last Mainstreet poll in late November — the party’s largest margin of approval since September 2020.
Conservative support increased by a slight 0.3 per cent after falling two per cent between October and November last year. Backing of the NDP grew by two per cent.
Support for Annamie Paul’s Greens dropped by two per cent and Bloc approval remained unchanged.
Liberal backing continued to go up in every region other than the Prairies and Quebec, where the party is still more popular than in the last federal election.
The poll shows that Liberal support continues to climb in the Atlantic provinces, to 52.3 per cent, which is up 5.7 points since November. Approval of the Liberals in Quebec dipped by eight points, to 37.4 per cent.
READ MORE: Liberals widen lead over Tories in second COVID wave: Mainstreet poll
Support for the Grits continues to surge in B.C., by 11 points from October last year, to 36.8 per cent this month. The party now enjoys a comfortable lead over Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives and Jagmeet Singh’s New Democrats in the province.
Backing of the NDP and Greens in B.C. — where both parties find their strongest base — has dipped slightly, as the Liberals edge ahead in the province. NDP approval sits at 22.4 per cent and the Greens have 8.6 per cent.
In Alberta, the second-place Liberals have gained 2.8 per cent, to reach 22.1 per cent. The Conservatives dipped 2.9 per cent in their Western stronghold, where they enjoy a comfortable 58.1 per cent support.
Conservative backing edged up in combined respondents in Manitoba and Saskatchewan, where the party has a 51.6 per cent approval rating, which is up 3.4 points since November. The Liberals keep trailing them, with 24.9 per cent approval in the Prairies.
The Liberals continue to enjoy favourable polling numbers as Canada embarks on a mass COVID-vaccination campaign, despite a recent “bump in the road.”
Since Mainstreet’s last poll at the end of November, COVID has advanced in a deadly second wave, made worse by the appearance of a more contagious variant of the virus. As a result, several provinces have imposed lockdown restrictions similar to those of last spring.
The margin of error of Mainstreet’s survey is plus or minus 1.8 per cent, 19 times out of 20. The sample is intended to reflect Canada’s voting population. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.