RTX Stock – Raytheon Technologies Stock Sh – GuruFocus.com
The stock of Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTX, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus’ estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $82.87 per share and the market cap of $125.6 billion, Raytheon Technologies stock is estimated to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Raytheon Technologies is shown in the chart below.
Because Raytheon Technologies is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which is estimated to grow 9.81% annually over the next three to five years.
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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company’s financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Raytheon Technologies has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.26, which which ranks worse than 71% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. The overall financial strength of Raytheon Technologies is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Raytheon Technologies is poor. This is the debt and cash of Raytheon Technologies over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Raytheon Technologies has been profitable 9 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $60.5 billion and loss of $1.79 a share. Its operating margin is 1.67%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. Overall, the profitability of Raytheon Technologies is ranked 6 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Raytheon Technologies over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company’s stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of Raytheon Technologies is -17.7%, which ranks worse than 86% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -44.3%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry.
One can also evaluate a company’s profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, Raytheon Technologies’s ROIC is 0.88 while its WACC came in at 9.09. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Raytheon Technologies is shown below:
Overall, the stock of Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTX, 30-year Financials) appears to be significantly overvalued. The company’s financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. To learn more about Raytheon Technologies stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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