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        • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,800 USD
        • Pandemic Is Changing BTC Usage in ‘Unexpected Ways’
        • Macropay on Alternative & local payment methods that are reshaping global e-commerce
        • Bank of America is preparing for a flood of Applications to Small-Business Loan
        • Microsoft might be the best tech stock in this market
        • US Airlines To Work Collectively, Consolidate Flights
        • Bank of America maintaining business continuity and protecting the bottom line
        • US long-term mortgage rates drop
        • Bitcoin Price Bulls have been rejected at $7,000
        • Stock Market: 4 Top Stock Trades for Wednesday: NVDA, AVGO, BAC, IQ
        • Stock Market April 2 – Edge Higher; Oil Surges, Bonds Fall, Dollar Rose
        • Chase bank will raise up to $10 billion
          • Bitcoin Price Simply Surged to $6,500 After Over 10% Weekend Crash
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $7,000: BTC Leaps to Retest $7,000
          • Bank of America agreed to allow 50,000 mortgage customers to defer payments
        • Bitcoin Price Prediction April: Three Key Causes Why BTC May Plunge Beneath $5,000
          • Roll up the Sleeves! American Airlines was down -10.34%
          • Mortgage calculator rates today April 2, 2020
          • Mortgage Calculator Small businesses: SB have ‘a million inquiries’ regarding check help loans
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 1 – Bitcoin Takes Tumble
            • With Bank of America card you can request a payment deferral online
              • Bank of America fields 150,000 installment deferral demands
            • Coronavirus – Travel Insurance no cover cancellations
              • Bank of America said it won’t cut any positions
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 2 – BTC rise to $6,700
          • Mortgage calculator rates today March 31, 2020
          • Bitcoin Price Momentum Sign Reverses, Bull Run Lastly Inbound?
          • Bitcoin Price Recovering After a Sharp Decline
          • Fintech News Airbnb – How hosts are fighting back against Covid-19 fallout
          • Market Stock Boeing – Challenging Times Ahead for Boeing Stock
        • Bank of America U.S. Minimum Hourly Wage Reaches $20
          • Bitcoin Price Bulls – is Forming a Bull Cross After Rallying to $6,500
          • P2P Crowdlending – Average Interest Rate 18%
          • $633 Million BTC Transferred For Simply $0.26 Payment
        • Prime ICO Advertising and marketing Companies
        • Bank of America will provide up to $250 million
        • Bank of America VC: You tend to do the wrong thing at the wrong time
          • Bitcoin Price Jump as Coronavirus Curve Begins to Flatten
            • Bitcoin Price Today April 3
            • Bitcoin Price Is Sometimes Bullish in Q2
            • Bitcoin Price Tumble Beneath $ 6,000
            • BTC Price Today 5 | April, 2020
            • Bitcoin Price and S&P 500 – Here’s how much bitcoin beat the Dow and S&P 500 in the first quarter
              • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,600
                • Bitcoin Price Bulls Reaches: “Live or Die”
                • BTC Price Today | 6 April 2020
          • Bank of America sees big year for Microsoft ahead
            • American Airlines coronavirus downgrade
              • Bitcoin Price Rejected $6,600
              • Bitcoin Price Trace It Will Fall to $ 5 K
              • BTC Price Today April 4
                • Stock Market Today 31 March, 2020
              • US Bank Raises $586M Against COVID-19
                • Bank of America’s Solid Liquidity to Help Covid-19 Crisis
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      • Mortgage Calculator – Students Benefits
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      • Mortgage Calculator Modification – What Is?
      • Mortgage Calculator Canada: Rates Are Rising
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        • Mortgage rates today, April 3, 2020 plus reviews
          • cmc currency details
            • cmc exchange details
              • Shortcodes
        • Microsoft Vulnerability: Hundreds of Microsoft Servers Contaminated By Crypto-Mining Botnet Since 2018
          • Cision PR Newswire
          • Coupons – Best websites
            • Aeromexico Rewards Chart
            • Get Avios Points Free
        • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,800 USD
        • Pandemic Is Changing BTC Usage in ‘Unexpected Ways’
        • Macropay on Alternative & local payment methods that are reshaping global e-commerce
        • Bank of America is preparing for a flood of Applications to Small-Business Loan
        • Microsoft might be the best tech stock in this market
        • US Airlines To Work Collectively, Consolidate Flights
        • Bank of America maintaining business continuity and protecting the bottom line
        • US long-term mortgage rates drop
        • Bitcoin Price Bulls have been rejected at $7,000
        • Stock Market: 4 Top Stock Trades for Wednesday: NVDA, AVGO, BAC, IQ
        • Stock Market April 2 – Edge Higher; Oil Surges, Bonds Fall, Dollar Rose
        • Chase bank will raise up to $10 billion
          • Bitcoin Price Simply Surged to $6,500 After Over 10% Weekend Crash
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $7,000: BTC Leaps to Retest $7,000
          • Bank of America agreed to allow 50,000 mortgage customers to defer payments
        • Bitcoin Price Prediction April: Three Key Causes Why BTC May Plunge Beneath $5,000
          • Roll up the Sleeves! American Airlines was down -10.34%
          • Mortgage calculator rates today April 2, 2020
          • Mortgage Calculator Small businesses: SB have ‘a million inquiries’ regarding check help loans
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 1 – Bitcoin Takes Tumble
            • With Bank of America card you can request a payment deferral online
              • Bank of America fields 150,000 installment deferral demands
            • Coronavirus – Travel Insurance no cover cancellations
              • Bank of America said it won’t cut any positions
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 2 – BTC rise to $6,700
          • Mortgage calculator rates today March 31, 2020
          • Bitcoin Price Momentum Sign Reverses, Bull Run Lastly Inbound?
          • Bitcoin Price Recovering After a Sharp Decline
          • Fintech News Airbnb – How hosts are fighting back against Covid-19 fallout
          • Market Stock Boeing – Challenging Times Ahead for Boeing Stock
        • Bank of America U.S. Minimum Hourly Wage Reaches $20
          • Bitcoin Price Bulls – is Forming a Bull Cross After Rallying to $6,500
          • P2P Crowdlending – Average Interest Rate 18%
          • $633 Million BTC Transferred For Simply $0.26 Payment
        • Prime ICO Advertising and marketing Companies
        • Bank of America will provide up to $250 million
        • Bank of America VC: You tend to do the wrong thing at the wrong time
          • Bitcoin Price Jump as Coronavirus Curve Begins to Flatten
            • Bitcoin Price Today April 3
            • Bitcoin Price Is Sometimes Bullish in Q2
            • Bitcoin Price Tumble Beneath $ 6,000
            • BTC Price Today 5 | April, 2020
            • Bitcoin Price and S&P 500 – Here’s how much bitcoin beat the Dow and S&P 500 in the first quarter
              • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,600
                • Bitcoin Price Bulls Reaches: “Live or Die”
                • BTC Price Today | 6 April 2020
          • Bank of America sees big year for Microsoft ahead
            • American Airlines coronavirus downgrade
              • Bitcoin Price Rejected $6,600
              • Bitcoin Price Trace It Will Fall to $ 5 K
              • BTC Price Today April 4
                • Stock Market Today 31 March, 2020
              • US Bank Raises $586M Against COVID-19
                • Bank of America’s Solid Liquidity to Help Covid-19 Crisis
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      • Best Online Savings Accounts of February 2020
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      • 6% cd rates – They Exists ?
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      • Best Credit Cards for Students 2020
      • Best Airline Credit Card 2020
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      • Best Rewards Credit Card 2020
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      • 11 Best Prepaid Debit Cards of 2020
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      • Lowe’s Credit Card
      • Get Revolut Card + £50
      • Qantas Credit Card
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      • How many credit cards should I have?
      • Is Discover Visa or Mastercard?
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      • Wells Fargo Propel – Review
      • Walmart Money Card – Review
      • Credit One Credit Card Review
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      • Travel credit card reviews 2020
      • Petal Credit Card Review
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      • Best Mortgage for Low Down Payment 2020
      • Best Mortgage Rates
      • Best VA Mortgage Lenders of 2020
      • Greatest On-line Mortgage Lenders
      • The Best Mortgage Lenders for First Time Home Buyers
    • Mortgage Calculators
      • Mortgage calculator rates today April 1, 2020
      • Mortgage Calculator – Students Benefits
      • Mortgage Calculator – Homeowners and renters Get Payment Relief
      • Calculator for mortgage to millennials
      • Mortgage Calculator Modification – What Is?
      • Mortgage Calculator Canada: Rates Are Rising
      • Mortgage Calculator Home – Is it time to repair your own home mortgage?
      • Mortgage Calculator
      • Mortgage Calculator Rates Today April 3
      • Mortgage Calculator Online
      • Mortgage Calculator Coronavirus: UK mortgage market goes into lockdown
    • Mortgage Guides
      • Lending
      • How Mortgage Forbearance Works Under CARES Act
      • Stimulus Check
    • Mortgage Companies
      • Nationstar Mortgage
      • Roundpoint Mortgage
      • Midland Mortgage
      • Simple Mortgage Calculator
      • Freedom Mortgage
      • SunTrust Mortgage
  • Commodities
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      • WTI Oil Prices
      • Brent Crude
      • Crude Oil
    • Agricultural Products
      • Corns
    • Livestock & Meat
      • Lean Hogs
    • Precious Metals
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      • Gold
        • Best Place to Buy Gold
        • Price of Gold
        • 5 Ways In order to Buy Gold
        • Gold Price Chart
        • Gold Futures
      • Silver
    • Industrial Metals
      • Copper
  • Insurtech
    • Insurtech “Best of…”
      • Best Life Insurance of 2020
      • The Best Renters Insurance Companies 2020
      • Best Pet Insurance Providers of 2020
      • Best Home Insurance Companies for 2020
      • Best Car Insurance Quotes Online
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Stock Market Analysis Today – Investing mantras: When to sit tight in the stock market! George Goodman’s tips to win the game of investing

Yuuma Nakamura by Yuuma Nakamura
January 23, 2021
in Stock Market News
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Home » Stock Market Analysis Today – Investing mantras: When to sit tight in the stock market! George Goodman’s tips to win the game of investing

Stock Market Analysis Today – Investing mantras: When to sit tight in the stock market! George Goodman’s tips to win the game of investing

Popularly known by his pen name Adam Smith, famed American author and market commentator George Goodman called investing a game, and its first basic rule is to make money, and not lose it.

According to Goodman, the stock market isn’t necessarily fully rational and investors need to gauge sentiment in order to discern the right timing to make an investment.

He said investors should be wary of analysts and experts as professional money managers are overrated.

“The market — investing — is the greatest game of all. Because investing is an exercise in mass psychology, in trying to guess better than the crowd how it (the crowd) will behave,” Goodman wrote in his book
The Money Game, published in 1968 which became an immediate bestseller and remains one of the top investing books of all times.

In the book, Goodman exposed financial complexities under the name of one of history’s most famous economists, Adam Smith.

Goodman started an institutional investor magazine in the 1960s and was the executive editor of
Esquire in the 1970s. He also hosted a popular show
Adam Smith’s Money World, on PBS from 1984 to 1997. He died in Miami in 2014 at the age of 83.

Contrary to popular belief, Goodman did not choose the pseudonym Adam Smith, after the famous economist. Rather, it was given to him as a young journalist for a New York magazine in the 1960s to hide his identity from sensitive Wall Street sources.

Market mood a major factor in determining stock value

Goodman felt there was a huge difference between whatever was written about the market and how it actually behaved. “It has taken me years to unlearn everything I was taught, and I probably haven’t succeeded yet. I cite this only because most of what has been written about the market tells you the way it ought to be, and the successful investors I know do not hold to the way it ought to be, they simply go with what it is,” he said.

Goodman said each investor perceived the value of a stock in a different way. He felt investors should view stock valuation as a range, instead of a fixed price.

He believed the factors that gave a stock a value and price came partially from the financial statement, and mostly from the mood of the market. “The mood is what makes a system, a theory, a strategy, or a rational view on markets imperfect, imprecise, sometimes wrong, and irrational. Mood makes markets biological, complex, and keeps them in a constant state of change,” he said.

Know yourself
Goodman used to say it is essential for investors to know themselves very well, and this could help them deal with their biases and learn from mistakes.

He felt investment decisions made by investors revealed a lot about their personalities. So it was better for them to figure out their biases, learn from them, and use them to their advantage, than ignoring them, fighting against them, and failing. “The first thing you have to know is yourself. A man who knows himself can step outside himself and watch his own reactions like an observer,” said he.

From his years of experience, Goodman made several observations about the market in his book
The Money Game. Here are some of them which are still relevant for modern-day investors.

  • If you don’t know who you are, market is an expensive place to find out.

Investing could be quite costly as investors often succumbed to the stress and anxiety of the volatile market situations. Goodman felt investors who could show emotional maturity, remain calm, keep their cool, discipline and patience were the ones who could achieve success in the long run.

“The end object of investment is serenity, and serenity can be achieved only by avoiding the anxiety. To avoid anxiety, you have to know who you are and what you’re doing,” he said.

  • The real test is how you behave when the crowd is roaring the other way

Goodman believed the real test for investors was when they have to act contrary to the crowd, as human nature suggests most people find comfort in being part of the crowd.

  • Every bubble or euphoric period must start with a rational idea

According to Goodman, behind every bubble or euphoric period there is a rational idea. He said the story of the bubble spreads and the crowd’s herd mentality takes over till it eventually peaks after which every dip becomes a false buying opportunity.

  • Each investor has a unique style of playing the investing game

Investors liked to play the game of investing for many different reasons. Only a few investors actually played for the money, but the rest of them played for the thrill and action, the image it presented, the sense of belonging of being in a crowd and for the stories to brag to friends and strangers.


Goodman believed each investor had a unique style of playing the game and each made up her own set of rules and had a different definition of winning. He said investors often changed the rules and the definition of the game multiple times depending on how well they were playing.

  • Strongest emotions in the market-Greed and Fear

Goodman believed greed and fear were the strongest emotions in the market, as nobody liked to watch others make more money than them. He felt investors hated losing more than they liked winning.


Goodman said these emotions had a huge impact on investors’ willingness to change goals and time horizons. He felt investors were generally hesitant, cautious and timid at the bottom and bold, confident, and audacious at the top, which was the exact opposite of what was necessary for success.

“No matter what role the investor has started with, in a climax on one side or the other the role melts into the crowd role of greed or fear. The only real protection against the vagaries of identity playing and against the final role of being part of the crowd when it stampedes is to have an identity so firm that it is not influenced by all the brouhaha in the marketplace,” he said.

  • The identity of the investor and that of the investing action must be coldly separate

Goodman felt the most brilliant investors also faltered if they started showing any sense of attachment or emotion to an investment. “The most important thing to realise is simplistic: The stock doesn’t know you own it. Nor does it care. Investing is the epitome of a one-sided relationship. Emotional connections don’t exist,” he said.

Goodman advised investors to remain detached as it would help them to change their mind or reverse course, without being tied down by prior decisions.

  • Beware of goals identified by numbers

Goodman noted that sometimes investors set unrealistic goals and expectations from their investments which they often define by a big round number. He felt sometimes investors get so fixated on achieving this target that despite big gains, they try to hold on for a little more and end up messing up everything due to jealousy, envy, greed or dreams.

  • Nothing works all the time and in all kinds of markets

Goodman believed sometimes investors need to sit tight due to market uncertainty, stay patient and not do anything at all till the times get better. He was of the view that taking a decision to not make a decision was a big decision in itself.

“If you really love playing the g, any action is better than inaction, and sometimes inaction is the proper course, if it has been taken after measuring all the measurable options. If a decision is made not to make a decision, that is just as much a decision as a decision which initiates action,” he said.

  • Be wary of high growth companies

Goodman said high growth companies carry the seeds of their own destruction as their USP often gets copied by other rivals and peers. He said growth gets spread across competitors and prices get cut as companies battle for market share, and profit margins suffer.

  • Best to concentrate on a few stocks only

Goodman said that although investors diversify their portfolios to cut out the risk associated with market volatility, they only end up in getting average returns. Instead he felt investors should concentrate their portfolio with only a few stocks with outstanding potential.

“Sweet are the uses of diversity, but only if you want to end up in the middle of an average. By concentrate I mean in a few issues only. There are, at any one moment, only a few stocks that have a maximum potential, and I, for one, am not smart enough to be able to follow more than a handful of stocks at a time. If you are concentrated in only a few stocks, you are forced to measure each of them in terms of potential against each new idea that comes along, and this in turn makes you bump the bottom stocks off — the worst-performing ones — to take aboard something more promising,” he said.

  • Don’t be over-dependent on mathematics

Some investors showed over-dependence on mathematics, accounting numbers and figures, which inject an expectation of precision in the market that is hardly ever accurate.

He felt that the more complex the math, the more speculative were the results. Goodman said although accounting standards and financial statements implied precision, yet sometimes earnings could be manipulated in many ways so investors should remain careful.

According to Goodman, almost every investor takes the accounting numbers at face value and rarely spends the time to look beyond the image the management wants to project. They hardly are able to spot why and what’s being manipulated, and what are its implications, he felt.

  • Biggest risk to fund managers: Career risk

Goodman was of the view that the biggest risk that a fund manager faced during his tenure was career risk. He said most fund managers were not willing to bet their jobs by looking wrong in the short term, even if looking wrong produced great results in the long term.

“The market does not follow logic, it follows some mysterious tides of mass psychology,” he said.

Goodman felt new investors were more susceptible to falling prey to the mass psychology as they’re too young to remember any bad times or are yet to face any major setback in the current market scenario. So these new investors get attracted to the new math and the new market trend.

  • It is essential to own stocks with great value before others

Goodman said it was important for investors to own the stocks that they felt were going to be of great value in the future before it got noticed by others.

“The most brilliant and perceptive analysis you can do may sit there until someone else believes it too, for the object of the game is not to own some stock, like a faithful dog, which you have chosen, but to get to the piece of paper ahead of the crowd. Value is not only inherent in the stock; to do you any good, it has to be value that is appreciated by others… If you are in the right thing at the wrong time, you may be right but have a long wait; at least you are better off than coming late to the party. You don’t want to be on the dance floor when the music stops,” he said.

  • Market reflects a nation’s well-being

Goodman said although the market is only a tiny part of the society, it reflects the general mood of the people so it is a good litmus test for knowing the current performance of a nation.

“Markets only work when they believe, and this confidence is based on the idea that men can manage their affairs rationally. In the long run, the actions of all the investors, individual and institutional, professional and nonprofessional, have to be based on the belief that leadership knows what it is doing and that rational men are handling the nation’s business rationally. If that belief fades, then so do the markets. They do not merely dive, they dive and then they disappear,” he said.

  • Win the investing game to become rich

Goodman said in order to become rich, one needs to win the game of investing by earning wealthy returns on their investments.

He said each investor has a different definition of what being rich actually means to them. Some investors treat it as a possession and compete for it to see who can collect the most. But the wise and rational investor knows that being rich is actually about having the financial freedom to enjoy life.

(Disclaimer: This article is based on George Goodman’s book The Money Game
, and his various interviews.)



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 Stock Market Analysis Today – Investing mantras: When to sit tight in the stock market! George Goodman’s tips to win the game of investing

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