The N(BA) is the Wild West right now given COVID-19 and the league’s health protocols, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t edges to be had. We sit at 48-43-1 on the season for article plays and look to take advantage of some early game trends with a couple of home teams on Tuesday.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be another great season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
ATL 1H -1 (-110)
This happens to be a fade of the Grizzlies that also highlights a strong suit of the Hawks. Ja Morant suffered what appeared to be a somewhat serious back injury in Miami on Tuesday night. I started writing this up assuming that he’d be ruled out, but surprisingly, he’s going to give it a go. I still don’t love the spot, though, as Morant is banged up on the second night of a road back-to-back. While I like the Hawks for the game, I’ll back them on he first half line, with Atlanta sitting at 29-20-2 1H ATS this season. The Hawks are also playing for the second night in a row, but both games are at home. Danilo Gallinari is the only question mark for Atlanta, so with Trae Young good to go, I’m fine rolling with the Hawks.
PHX 1Q ML (-105)
Another one of the top trends in the N(BA) this season — Suns first quarter. Phoenix is an N(BA)-best 32-16-1 1Q ATS, including 20-6 1Q ATS at home. I don’t take a stroll down Narrative Street often, but I think the Suns are going to treat this like a very big game, proving that they can compete with the best in the west. For the Jazz, it’s just another game. They’ve been in this spot often, and have been taking the long-term approach. Despite its dominance, Utah has started slow on the road, going 11-15 1Q ATS. The Jazz have actually failed to cover six of the last seven first quarters they’ve played on the road, so I expect a hyped Suns squad to jump all over them early on a big nationally televised game.
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