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        • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,800 USD
        • Pandemic Is Changing BTC Usage in ‘Unexpected Ways’
        • Macropay on Alternative & local payment methods that are reshaping global e-commerce
        • Bank of America is preparing for a flood of Applications to Small-Business Loan
        • Microsoft might be the best tech stock in this market
        • US Airlines To Work Collectively, Consolidate Flights
        • Bank of America maintaining business continuity and protecting the bottom line
        • US long-term mortgage rates drop
        • Bitcoin Price Bulls have been rejected at $7,000
        • Stock Market: 4 Top Stock Trades for Wednesday: NVDA, AVGO, BAC, IQ
        • Stock Market April 2 – Edge Higher; Oil Surges, Bonds Fall, Dollar Rose
        • Chase bank will raise up to $10 billion
          • Bitcoin Price Simply Surged to $6,500 After Over 10% Weekend Crash
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $7,000: BTC Leaps to Retest $7,000
          • Bank of America agreed to allow 50,000 mortgage customers to defer payments
        • Bitcoin Price Prediction April: Three Key Causes Why BTC May Plunge Beneath $5,000
          • Roll up the Sleeves! American Airlines was down -10.34%
          • Mortgage calculator rates today April 2, 2020
          • Mortgage Calculator Small businesses: SB have ‘a million inquiries’ regarding check help loans
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 1 – Bitcoin Takes Tumble
            • With Bank of America card you can request a payment deferral online
              • Bank of America fields 150,000 installment deferral demands
            • Coronavirus – Travel Insurance no cover cancellations
              • Bank of America said it won’t cut any positions
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 2 – BTC rise to $6,700
          • Mortgage calculator rates today March 31, 2020
          • Bitcoin Price Momentum Sign Reverses, Bull Run Lastly Inbound?
          • Bitcoin Price Recovering After a Sharp Decline
          • Fintech News Airbnb – How hosts are fighting back against Covid-19 fallout
          • Market Stock Boeing – Challenging Times Ahead for Boeing Stock
        • Bank of America U.S. Minimum Hourly Wage Reaches $20
          • Bitcoin Price Bulls – is Forming a Bull Cross After Rallying to $6,500
          • P2P Crowdlending – Average Interest Rate 18%
          • $633 Million BTC Transferred For Simply $0.26 Payment
        • Prime ICO Advertising and marketing Companies
        • Bank of America will provide up to $250 million
        • Bank of America VC: You tend to do the wrong thing at the wrong time
          • Bitcoin Price Jump as Coronavirus Curve Begins to Flatten
            • Bitcoin Price Today April 3
            • Bitcoin Price Is Sometimes Bullish in Q2
            • Bitcoin Price Tumble Beneath $ 6,000
            • BTC Price Today 5 | April, 2020
            • Bitcoin Price and S&P 500 – Here’s how much bitcoin beat the Dow and S&P 500 in the first quarter
              • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,600
                • Bitcoin Price Bulls Reaches: “Live or Die”
                • BTC Price Today | 6 April 2020
          • Bank of America sees big year for Microsoft ahead
            • American Airlines coronavirus downgrade
              • Bitcoin Price Rejected $6,600
              • Bitcoin Price Trace It Will Fall to $ 5 K
              • BTC Price Today April 4
                • Stock Market Today 31 March, 2020
              • US Bank Raises $586M Against COVID-19
                • Bank of America’s Solid Liquidity to Help Covid-19 Crisis
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        • Mortgage rates today, April 3, 2020 plus reviews
          • cmc currency details
            • cmc exchange details
              • Shortcodes
        • Microsoft Vulnerability: Hundreds of Microsoft Servers Contaminated By Crypto-Mining Botnet Since 2018
          • Cision PR Newswire
          • Coupons – Best websites
            • Aeromexico Rewards Chart
            • Get Avios Points Free
        • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,800 USD
        • Pandemic Is Changing BTC Usage in ‘Unexpected Ways’
        • Macropay on Alternative & local payment methods that are reshaping global e-commerce
        • Bank of America is preparing for a flood of Applications to Small-Business Loan
        • Microsoft might be the best tech stock in this market
        • US Airlines To Work Collectively, Consolidate Flights
        • Bank of America maintaining business continuity and protecting the bottom line
        • US long-term mortgage rates drop
        • Bitcoin Price Bulls have been rejected at $7,000
        • Stock Market: 4 Top Stock Trades for Wednesday: NVDA, AVGO, BAC, IQ
        • Stock Market April 2 – Edge Higher; Oil Surges, Bonds Fall, Dollar Rose
        • Chase bank will raise up to $10 billion
          • Bitcoin Price Simply Surged to $6,500 After Over 10% Weekend Crash
          • Today Bitcoin Price at $7,000: BTC Leaps to Retest $7,000
          • Bank of America agreed to allow 50,000 mortgage customers to defer payments
        • Bitcoin Price Prediction April: Three Key Causes Why BTC May Plunge Beneath $5,000
          • Roll up the Sleeves! American Airlines was down -10.34%
          • Mortgage calculator rates today April 2, 2020
          • Mortgage Calculator Small businesses: SB have ‘a million inquiries’ regarding check help loans
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 1 – Bitcoin Takes Tumble
            • With Bank of America card you can request a payment deferral online
              • Bank of America fields 150,000 installment deferral demands
            • Coronavirus – Travel Insurance no cover cancellations
              • Bank of America said it won’t cut any positions
          • Bitcoin Price Today April 2 – BTC rise to $6,700
          • Mortgage calculator rates today March 31, 2020
          • Bitcoin Price Momentum Sign Reverses, Bull Run Lastly Inbound?
          • Bitcoin Price Recovering After a Sharp Decline
          • Fintech News Airbnb – How hosts are fighting back against Covid-19 fallout
          • Market Stock Boeing – Challenging Times Ahead for Boeing Stock
        • Bank of America U.S. Minimum Hourly Wage Reaches $20
          • Bitcoin Price Bulls – is Forming a Bull Cross After Rallying to $6,500
          • P2P Crowdlending – Average Interest Rate 18%
          • $633 Million BTC Transferred For Simply $0.26 Payment
        • Prime ICO Advertising and marketing Companies
        • Bank of America will provide up to $250 million
        • Bank of America VC: You tend to do the wrong thing at the wrong time
          • Bitcoin Price Jump as Coronavirus Curve Begins to Flatten
            • Bitcoin Price Today April 3
            • Bitcoin Price Is Sometimes Bullish in Q2
            • Bitcoin Price Tumble Beneath $ 6,000
            • BTC Price Today 5 | April, 2020
            • Bitcoin Price and S&P 500 – Here’s how much bitcoin beat the Dow and S&P 500 in the first quarter
              • Today Bitcoin Price at $6,600
                • Bitcoin Price Bulls Reaches: “Live or Die”
                • BTC Price Today | 6 April 2020
          • Bank of America sees big year for Microsoft ahead
            • American Airlines coronavirus downgrade
              • Bitcoin Price Rejected $6,600
              • Bitcoin Price Trace It Will Fall to $ 5 K
              • BTC Price Today April 4
                • Stock Market Today 31 March, 2020
              • US Bank Raises $586M Against COVID-19
                • Bank of America’s Solid Liquidity to Help Covid-19 Crisis
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      • Is Discover Visa or Mastercard?
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      • Walmart Money Card – Review
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      • Best Mortgage for Low Down Payment 2020
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    • Mortgage Calculators
      • Mortgage calculator rates today April 1, 2020
      • Mortgage Calculator – Students Benefits
      • Mortgage Calculator – Homeowners and renters Get Payment Relief
      • Calculator for mortgage to millennials
      • Mortgage Calculator Modification – What Is?
      • Mortgage Calculator Canada: Rates Are Rising
      • Mortgage Calculator Home – Is it time to repair your own home mortgage?
      • Mortgage Calculator
      • Mortgage Calculator Rates Today April 3
      • Mortgage Calculator Online
      • Mortgage Calculator Coronavirus: UK mortgage market goes into lockdown
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      • Stimulus Check
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      • Roundpoint Mortgage
      • Midland Mortgage
      • Simple Mortgage Calculator
      • Freedom Mortgage
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      • WTI Oil Prices
      • Brent Crude
      • Crude Oil
    • Agricultural Products
      • Corns
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      • Lean Hogs
    • Precious Metals
      • Platinum
      • Gold
        • Best Place to Buy Gold
        • Price of Gold
        • 5 Ways In order to Buy Gold
        • Gold Price Chart
        • Gold Futures
      • Silver
    • Industrial Metals
      • Copper
  • Insurtech
    • Insurtech “Best of…”
      • Best Life Insurance of 2020
      • The Best Renters Insurance Companies 2020
      • Best Pet Insurance Providers of 2020
      • Best Home Insurance Companies for 2020
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Why Nio Stock Cannot Be Thought-about the ‘Tesla of China’ After All

Yuuma Nakamura by Yuuma Nakamura
September 11, 2020
in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA)
0

Home » Why Nio Stock Cannot Be Thought-about the ‘Tesla of China’ After All

Nio (NYSE:NIO) stock enchanted U.S. buyers this 12 months. As buyers have scrambled to search out “the next Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA),” shares in Nio have skyrocketed 415%. However there’s one drawback:
Supply: Sundry Images / Shutterstock.com

Nio isn’t Tesla.
As an alternative, Nio (generally known as Wèilái in China) faces far stiffer competitors than Tesla ever did. With a minimum of 14 different electrical car producers in China, it should take way over wishful pondering for Nio shareholders to win.
Nio Stock: Combating for Chinese language Market Share
Don’t get me incorrect. I really like the electrical car house.
It’s a enterprise rising at 25% per 12 months the place winners will generate 1,000%-type returns for sensible buyers. And the Chinese language automotive business at the moment appears very similar to America’s booming one of many 1950s when the variety of U.S. registered vehicles doubled.
Nonetheless, the booming U.S. auto business additionally noticed many losers. Between 1946 and 1960, the U.S. noticed a minimum of 27 main auto firms fold. The record consists of well-known names like AMC, to stranger ones just like the Aurora, named by some auto historians as “the ugliest car ever.”
At this time, Nio faces an identical panorama.
Carsalesbase, an business tracker, counts no fewer than 91 Chinese language automotive manufacturers with greater than 1,000 gross sales in 2019. Because the No. 62 model in China (that’s not a misprint), Nio is sandwiched by No. 61 Qorus and No. 63 Oushan Cos, manufacturers barely recognized exterior China.
Can Nio win? Very probably. Automobile reviewers have given the corporate’s new ES6 SUV first rate critiques. Nio additionally managed to develop gross sales by 12,000 models in 2019, representing a 158% improve.
However will Nio win? That relies on altering Chinese language buyer tastes, one thing far tougher to foretell.
The Chinese language Auto Market: Prepared for a Shakeout
Historical past hasn’t been sort to auto producers. Bear in mind the golden period of U.S. auto manufacturing within the 1950s? By 2019, the variety of U.S. manufacturers had fallen to simply eight. Together with international ones, American customers now purchase solely 34 completely different automotive manufacturers.
Returns within the business are additionally meager. No main automotive producer has earned its price of capital over the previous decade.
Chinese language auto producers are going through the identical destiny. In 2019, 42 automotive manufacturers noticed gross sales declines of 20% or extra in China. Even main gamers like Leopaard Motors and Huansu noticed gross sales plummet 60% as prospects shifted consideration to different firms. (At its peak, Huansu bought virtually 270,000 vehicles yearly). That lengthy record of 91 Chinese language automotive manufacturers will definitely dwindle over the subsequent a number of years.
In different phrases, Chinese language automotive consumers have a variety of decisions and never all automotive manufacturers will survive.
That’s the explanation why, even in an amazing business, I’ll solely choose the businesses with the very best probabilities of success.
What About Nio?
Nio stock followers like to think about Wèilái as “the next Tesla.”
It’s not.
Need proof? Let’s examine Nio in 2019 to Tesla in 2014. That’s the 12 months TSLA bought 22,000 electrical autos, roughly the identical quantity that Nio did in 2019. However that’s the place the similarities finish.
Tesla noticed colossal demand: Analysts on the time estimated the corporate had a nine-month backlog. Demand was so excessive that web sites popped up so Tesla consumers might ask one another the place they have been in line. Nio, nonetheless, struggled to fill its order books through the coronavirus pandemic, one thing Tesla hasn’t had bother with.
Gross margin: TSLA generated a 27% gross margin in 2014. Nio, alternatively, recorded a -15% gross margin in 2019. The determine improved to three% within the first half of 2020, however which means Nio can nonetheless barely get prospects to pay what their SUVs price to supply.
Competitors: Nio counts a minimum of 14 rivals within the electrical SUV house, together with SAIC, Audi, Mercedes Benz (OTCMKTS:DMLRY) and Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI). Nio additionally contends with BYD (OTCMKTS:BYDDF), the 800-pound gorilla of the Chinese language EV world. Based in 2003, the Warren Buffett-backed firm has develop into the No. 15 largest automotive model in China. In April alone, BYD bought 12,262 plug-in EVs.
Taken collectively, this means “Wèilái” fails to seize the Chinese language client the identical means that Tesla did in 2014.
Does Nio Have a Secret Sauce?
Nio doesn’t produce its personal vehicles. As an alternative, the automotive firm contracts with state-owned Jianghuai Car Group (JAC) for manufacturing. Phrases, nonetheless, are significantly onerous. Not solely should Nio pay per car produced, however in addition they should compensate JAC for any working losses that JAC itself generates.
Die-hard followers of Nio stock would twist this detrimental right into a constructive, calling the corporate a “lifestyle brand.” To them, it’s a profit that the corporate doesn’t personal its manufacturing amenities – why trouble if you happen to’re a pure-bred model? Certainly, Nio additionally sells clothes, merchandise, and even “Nio Houses.”
And success as a life-style model will surely carry riches to buyers. LVMH (OTCMKTS:LVMUY), the corporate that owns Louis Vuitton, Hennessey, and different high-end manufacturers, is worth $241 billion. Nio reaching that valuation means a 10x acquire for buyers.
However buyers ought to keep in mind that these are tall mountains to climb.
Firstly, success in a crowded auto business is already difficult; Tesla managed via Elon Musk’s herculean effort in fundraising and making a distinctly fascinating automotive. Nio, alternatively, has had bother wowing customers. Underwhelmed customers declare Nio’s ES8 SUV travels simply 186 miles on a single cost (vs. Tesla’s Model X’s vary of 320-350 miles)
Secondly, success as a life-style model will show much more taxing. Tons of of previously shining manufacturers, from Umbro and Ecko Limitless, are actually housed in penny stocks.
Can Nio Succeed?
Definitely. Think about a world the place $52,000 “Wèilái” SUVs trundle down U.S. streets. One the place American and European customers eschew Teslas, BMWs, and Audis in favor of a greater, sooner, cheaper, extra fascinating Chinese language import.
Are you able to think about that?
As a result of that’s what it could take for Nio to develop into the subsequent Tesla: worldwide recognition. (Tesla Model three is the second-most common EV in China). The corporate is already worth as a lot as Ford Motor (NYSE:F), so it wants international development to push its stock up one other 10x.
However suppose you’ve bother imagining Nio shifting 500,000 “Wèilái” models worldwide yearly. In that case, you’re higher off discovering one other EV firm like Workhorse (NASDAQ:WKHS), Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA), or Li Auto which may.

The Backside Line
Whether or not Nio stock rises or falls 10% at the moment or tomorrow is a technician’s recreation (and one which I understand how to play). However if you happen to’re in search of 10x-100x returns within the Chinese language electrical car market, then pause a second.
The following Tesla gained’t simply dominate the Chinese language EV market. It must dominate the world.
On the date of publication, Tom Yeung didn’t have (both instantly or not directly) any positions within the securities talked about on this article.

Tom Yeung, CFA, is a registered funding advisor on a mission to carry simplicity to the world of investing. 

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